Household spending growth continues to moderate, New York Fed says
Consumers, the backbone of the American economy, continued to spend in December, but the rate of spending growth is continuing to slow, according to a survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The median increase in monthly household spending, compared with a year ago, dropped to 5.0% in December 2023, from 5.5% in August, and 7.1% in December 2022, the New York Fed said. However, that compares with the prepandemic level of 2.5% in December 2019.
59.7% of households reported making at least one large purchase in the last four months, down from 63.5% in August, but above 56.4% in December 2022.
Expectations of spending growth also eased. Median expected growth in monthly overall household spending over the next year decreased to 3.0% from 3.4% in August, its lowest reading since December 2020.
The average reported likelihood of making a large purchase over the next four months declined in December for home appliances, electronics, furniture, home repairs, vehicles, and vacations but increased for buying a home, the New York Fed said.
When asked what they would do with an unexpected 10% increase in income, an average 38.4% would be used by households to pay down debt, up from 33.8% in December 2022 and the highest reading since August 2016. On average, 45.6% would be saved or invested, down from 47.7% in the previous year, and 16.0% would be spent or donated, down from 18.5% in the prior year and the lowest reading since the series began in August 2015.
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