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Arm shares soar as AI demand boosts growth prospects

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UK chip designer Arm said it was seeing higher royalty and licensing revenue amid strong AI demand as it lifted its outlook for the year, sending shares rocketing more than 20 per cent higher in after-hours trading on Wednesday.

Arm chief executive Rene Haas said the company had benefited from the “profound opportunity” brought by the demand for new artificial intelligence applications being deployed by big tech companies.

The strong results for the company — which offers the foundational architecture behind chips built by big tech companies — led it to double down on its claim that a revolutionary shift in demand for AI computing power will drive the next phase of its growth.

Ahead of the release, Bank of America analysts reiterated their “Buy” rating on Arm stock, saying they expected the company’s growth narrative to be supported by increased royalty fees from Arm’s latest design architecture powering AI.

The company’s revenue in the three months to the end of December was $824mn, up 14 per cent year on year, above consensus estimates of $762.99mn, according to S&P Capital IQ. Arm also revised higher its full-year revenue guidance from a range of $2.96bn-$3.1bn to $3.15bn-$3.2bn.

In a letter to shareholders on Wednesday, Arm said that royalty revenue from smartphones had also improved thanks to a recovery in device sales.

Adjusted earnings per share were $0.29, and it lifted its full-year guidance from a range of $1.00-$1.10 to $1.20-$1.24.

It is Arm’s second quarterly earnings report since going public in September. Its first report had left Wall Street underwhelmed, as it paid out more than $500mn in remuneration costs following the listing in New York, which required it to settle shares previously granted to employees.

Japan’s SoftBank holds more than 90 per cent of shares in Arm, after acquiring the business for $32bn in 2016. The UK had lobbied hard for Cambridge-based Arm to list in London, but SoftBank opted instead for New York, believing it had a better chance of recouping its investment with Arm trading alongside high-valued US tech companies.

Arm shares have climbed more than 21 per cent over the past six months to about $77, well above the $51 price offered when it first listed. SoftBank shares climbed nearly 10 per cent on Thursday morning in Tokyo on the back of Arm’s results and ahead of the group’s own quarterly earnings presentation later in the day.

On an earnings call following the results announcement, Haas said that Arm is “the most fundamental, pervasive compute platform in the history of digital design”, with demand for artificial intelligence applications “driving the need for a lot of different products”.

Royalties from Arm’s newest Armv9 chip design architecture, which is embedded in devices powering AI applications, now make up 15 per cent of the company’s overall royalty revenues, up from 10 per cent during the last quarter. It is bringing twice the royalty rate of the previous Armv8 designs, Haas said.

Processor chips in data centres that train large language models, including Nvidia’s Grace Hopper, Microsoft’s Cobalt and Amazon’s Graviton, are all based on Arm’s V9 architecture. Similarly, Arm’s V9 designs are “in all of the premium smartphones” released by the likes of Apple, Samsung and Google, Haas said.

The company also saw strong growth in China, Arm chief financial officer Jason Child said. Arm China now accounts for 25 per cent of total revenue, up from 20 per cent for the prior quarter.

Licensing revenue growth also increased thanks in part to an uptick in demand for its computing platform, Arm Total Access, Haas said.

Arm’s upbeat results contrast with several other chip companies that have reported so far this year, with Intel, AMD and Texas Instruments all offering more tepid outlooks amid concerns about broader sluggishness in the semiconductor sector.

Qualcomm, however, also beat revenue expectations last week, which it credited to demand for AI-focused chips.


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